IMF predicts Ukraine's GDP for 2026-2027.


The fund confirmed that Ukraine's GDP will grow by 4% this year, and in the following years - by 2.5-3.5%. However, a significant improvement in the economic situation is expected only in 2026-2027.
According to the fund's data, the real GDP may grow by 4% this year but is expected to decrease to 2.5-3.5% next year.
'In 2024, economic growth improved due to resilience to energy shocks. However, in 2025, a slowdown is expected due to difficulties in the labor market, the impact of Russia on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, and the uncertainty of the war,' the fund explained.
It is noted that recently there has been an increase in inflation in Ukraine, mainly due to rising food prices. However, inflation expectations remain stable.
The IMF acknowledges that the government has managed to maintain sufficient reserves thanks to external financial support. However, the forecast remains uncertain due to the war in eastern Ukraine.
At the same Time, the IMF forecasts a significant acceleration of Ukraine's GDP growth in 2026-2027 to 5.3% and 4.5%, respectively. Details of such calculations are not disclosed.
The fund also positively assessed the recent monetary measures in Ukraine and the readiness of the National Bank to take additional steps if inflation expectations worsen.
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